WHEAT-HRW · CHICAGO BOARD OF TRADE · CFTC code 001612 · week ending 2026-08-11
Managed Money holds a net position of 25,606 contracts, or 8.4% of the 305,725 contracts of open interest, leaving the category net long. That is more than two standard deviations above its three-year average — positioning is stretched, and stretched positioning is fuel for a sharp unwind if the narrative changes (z = +2.05 and sits at 88 on a 0–100 scale of its three-year range). In contracts, the net position moved −5,890 while open interest moved −7,281 — long liquidation, with longs closing out rather than new sellers arriving. That is −1.69pp as a share of open interest.
Managed Money · blue above the line is net long, red below is net short
The denominator. Positioning shares mean little without knowing whether the market itself is growing or shrinking.
Shaded beyond ±2σ. Measures how unusual today's share is for this market.
Rank within the 3-year range. Shaded below 10 and above 90.
Change in the net share week over week, in percentage points of open interest.
Net share of open interest by trader group. The groups net to zero — every long is someone's short.
| Week | Open interest | Net | Net % OI | Δ pp | Z | COT Idx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | 305,725 | 25,606 | 8.38% | -1.69 | 2.05 | 88 |
| 2026-08-04 | 313,006 | 31,496 | 10.06% | -0.28 | 2.27 | 93 |
| 2026-07-28 | 303,684 | 31,411 | 10.34% | 1.26 | 2.33 | 93 |
| 2026-07-21 | 294,133 | 26,710 | 9.08% | 3.93 | 2.19 | 90 |
| 2026-07-14 | 267,937 | 13,789 | 5.15% | 1.89 | 1.73 | 80 |
| 2026-07-07 | 268,328 | 8,729 | 3.25% | 1.35 | 1.51 | 75 |
| 2026-06-30 | 260,913 | 4,962 | 1.90% | 2.18 | 1.34 | 72 |
| 2026-06-23 | 269,180 | −758 | -0.28% | -3.17 | 1.08 | 66 |
| 2026-06-16 | 289,534 | 8,363 | 2.89% | 4.26 | 1.41 | 74 |
| 2026-06-09 | 290,952 | −3,998 | -1.37% | -5.88 | 0.95 | 64 |
| 2026-06-02 | 315,942 | 14,235 | 4.51% | -4.40 | 1.58 | 79 |
| 2026-05-26 | 315,775 | 28,129 | 8.91% | -1.09 | 2.06 | 90 |